TODAY IN NUMBERS
SCIENCE · SATIRE · CONSERVED-QUANTITY ERROR

Permanent Daylight Saving Would Add Two Billion Dark School Journeys, Drawn From a Fixed National Supply of Darkness

University of Washington researchers counted the extra pre-sunrise commutes in 14 states and scaled the figure up. The clocks are the only part of the arrangement anyone proposes to amend.

A nationwide switch to permanent daylight saving time in the United States would produce at least two billion additional journeys to school before sunrise, according to research from the University of Washington.

The study was published on 29 October in the journal Current Biology and written up by ScienceDaily from material provided by the university.

Permanent daylight saving time would push sunrise an hour later during the winter months, leaving mornings darker from November through March. Although that would affect everyone travelling early in the day, the research team wanted to understand what it would mean specifically for children heading to school.

The team examined 14 of the 19 states that have already approved permanent daylight saving measures, combining school enrolment figures, individual school start times and geographic coordinates to determine how frequently students would need to travel before sunrise. They then compared the total with the current practice of changing the clocks twice a year.

In Washington state alone, permanent daylight saving time would produce nearly 35 million additional school commutes in darkness. Georgia showed the largest increase, at approximately 71 million. Extending the method nationwide produced the figure of at least two billion.

Mississippi and Alabama illustrate the scale. Schools in both states begin, on average, before 8am. Under the current clock system each state has approximately two million school trips in darkness; under permanent daylight saving time that would rise to more than 20 million trips per state.

The authors believe their national estimate is conservative, because to project it they assumed students would generally be leaving for school at around 8am. "For the estimation, we assumed students would be leaving home around 8 a.m.," said lead author Guadalupe Rodríguez Ferrante, a postdoctoral researcher in biology at the university. "That's pretty late, so our calculation is likely an underestimation of the real number."

Legislation to eliminate the annual return to standard time was approved by the US House of Representatives this past summer and remains stalled in the Senate, with school start times emerging as a major concern. Nineteen states have approved measures supporting the change, which would take effect in those states if the federal bill becomes law.

The researchers also point to the loss of morning daylight itself. Bright light early in the day helps synchronise the circadian clock, the internal timing system that influences sleep, mood and appetite. "When we send kids to school in the dark, we are depriving them from an opportunity to get that morning daylight," Rodríguez Ferrante said.

Senior author Horacio de la Iglesia, a professor of biology at the university, addressed the suggestion that schools could simply start later to compensate. "Well, if we do that, you will end up going to work later. And everything is going to get delayed. You will get out of work an hour later, and you will miss the opportunity to enjoy your evening light. And essentially, we're just going to be realigning everybody to solar time. That, by definition, is Standard Time," he said.

The two billion figure deserves a moment of attention, because of what it is a measurement of. It is not a count of darkness created. It is a count of darkness relocated.

The quantity of darkness available to the United States over a year is set by the rotation of the Earth and the tilt of its axis, and neither appears anywhere in the bill. The Sunshine Protection Act protects sunshine by moving an hour of it out of the morning and into the evening, where it is protected, and leaving the morning where the sunshine used to be.

Our analysts find the accounting sound and the title defensible. An hour of light at the end of the day is a real hour. It is simply the same hour, inspected at a more convenient moment, after a round trip of twelve hours during which nobody is required to look at it.

The Department of Unnecessary Research notes that the two billion journeys would be made in darkness already carried on the national books, and merely rescheduled. The clocks are the only item in the proposal that anyone has suggested amending.

SCHOOL COMMUTES BEFORE SUNRISEQUESTIONABLE ANALYTICS
3Mississippi now (2m)
49Washington increase (35m)
100Georgia increase (71m)
Figures from the University of Washington study as reported by ScienceDaily, scaled to Georgia's 71 million as 100. The first bar is a current annual total; the other two are projected increases.
THE BORING FACT

Researchers at the University of Washington calculate that a nationwide switch to permanent daylight saving time in the United States would produce at least two billion additional school commutes before sunrise, with nearly 35 million additional dark commutes in Washington state alone and approximately 71 million in Georgia. The findings were published on 29 October in Current Biology.

Source: ScienceDaily
OUR PROFESSIONAL CONCLUSION

Because the Earth's rotation and tilt fix how much darkness a year contains, the two billion additional dark commutes are not new darkness but the same darkness rescheduled, and the clocks are the only thing anyone proposes to change.

REALITY CHECK · CONSERVED-QUANTITY ERROR

Unfortunately, there's a small problem.

The total hours of darkness in a year are indeed fixed, but when they fall is what matters: the study's point is that moving darkness into the morning lands it on children who have to travel at a fixed time, which is not interchangeable with an adult's evening. A conserved total says nothing about who bears it.

THE BS DETECTOR

Where did reality end?

Tap the paragraph where this story stopped being true. Then see where everyone else bailed.

 

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