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Chrysler Building to Spend $235m on the Crown That Made It the Tallest in the World for Under a Year

Tishman Speyer has taken over the ground lease and will restore the Art Deco crown and the 77-storey facade. The developer says almost no new office space has been built nearby for decades.

Editorial cartoon illustration: Two property executives in overcoats stand on a flat Manhattan rooftop at dusk, looking up at the stainless-steel crown of a nearby Art Deco skyscraper while a window cleaner on a suspended cradle polishes it with a cloth. One of the executives holds a long brass surveyor's measuring rod upright beside him. Taller glass towers rise behind them in the haze.
Editorial illustration by The Questionable Times. Based on the verified event; scene is illustrative.

The Chrysler Building, one of the most distinctive high-rises on Manhattan's skyline, is to undergo a major renovation as part of a multi-million-dollar sale deal, with its Art Deco crown polished and restored and its 77-storey facade repaired.

The developer Tishman Speyer has taken over the lease from the Cooper Union for the Advancement of Science and Art, the private New York college that has owned the land beneath the building since 1902.

Tishman Speyer and its partners will invest $235m in the project. The work includes upgrades to the building's mechanical, elevator, electrical and air handling systems, and a refit of the 61st floor, home to the huge eagle gargoyles, which will also house an "upscale" lounge.

The developer plans to use most of the building, which stands close to Grand Central station, as office space, following what it calls a "prebuild approach" that lets firms move into finished premises quickly.

Its reasoning rests on scarcity. The area "has one of the lowest office availability rates in Manhattan", the company said, adding: "Construction of new office supply in the neighbourhood has been virtually nonexistent for decades."

The building's own history is a study in brief advantage. At 1,046ft, or 319m, it was the tallest building in the world when it opened, having been financed by the motor magnate Walter Chrysler and built between 1928 and 1930 to a design by William Van Alen, who modelled the eagle gargoyles on the hood ornaments of the 1929 Chrysler car. It was overtaken by the nearby Empire State Building less than a year later.

The land was bequeathed to the Cooper Union by the children of Peter Cooper, the manufacturer and industrialist who founded the college in 1859; its alumni include Thomas Edison. Under the deal the college will receive ground lease payments it says will finance "a bold plan to restore full-tuition scholarships for all undergraduates".

"The significance of this agreement is ultimately about what it makes possible for generations of Cooper Union students," said the college's president, Steven McLaughlin.

The developer's case for the building is, on its own terms, a case against building. The neighbourhood is attractive because it has one of the lowest office availability rates in Manhattan, and it has one of the lowest availability rates because almost nothing has been built there for decades.

The asset, in other words, is the absence. What has been bought into is a shortage, and a shortage is depleted by use.

This newspaper has followed the arithmetic to its end. Every lease signed in the restored building reduces the availability rate that justified restoring it, so the project consumes its own investment case one tenant at a time, and becomes fully successful at precisely the moment it stops being worth doing.

Our analysts note that the building has been here before. It was the tallest in the world for under a year, and lost the title not by shrinking but because somebody else built. The $235m now going into the crown is being spent on the one part of the structure whose only achievement was to be briefly higher than everything else.

The Department of Unnecessary Research has identified the single durable position in Manhattan property. The surest way to maintain one of the lowest office availability rates in the neighbourhood is to leave the offices empty.

A SHORT REIGNQUESTIONABLE ANALYTICS
1Years as the world's tallest
95Years since overtaken
Years. The Chrysler Building opened in 1930 as the tallest building in the world and was overtaken by the Empire State Building less than a year later.
THE BORING FACT

Tishman Speyer and its partners will invest $235m in restoring the Chrysler Building's Art Deco crown and 77-storey facade after taking over the ground lease from the Cooper Union, which says it will use the lease payments to finance a plan to restore full-tuition scholarships for all undergraduates.

Source: BBC News
OUR PROFESSIONAL CONCLUSION

If the building's value rests on the neighbourhood's low office availability, and that scarcity exists because nobody built anything, then every tenant the restored building attracts erases the reason for restoring it, and the safest way to preserve the shortage is to leave the offices empty.

REALITY CHECK · SELF-DEFEATING PREMISE

Unfortunately, there's a small problem.

Low availability makes a refurbishment worth doing precisely because the finished space will let. Filling one building does not meaningfully move a submarket's vacancy rate, and a leased office earns rent while an empty one does not.

THE BS DETECTOR

Where did reality end?

Tap the paragraph where this story stopped being true. Then see where everyone else bailed.

 

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