TODAY IN NUMBERS
TECHNOLOGY · SATIRE · THRESHOLD FALLACY

FCC Lets Foreign Investors Own 49.5% of Paramount After Deciding That Owning It Does Nothing At All

The statutory limit is 25%. The petition asked for 100%. The commission settled on a figure half a percentage point short of half.

Editorial cartoon illustration: Five commissioners in business dress sit along a raised bench in a formal American hearing room, four of them looking down at the table in front of them. At the centre of the room a broadcast engineer in overalls stands beside a tall transmitter mast that has been brought indoors, holding a tape measure stretched out against it and squinting at a point just short of halfway up.
Editorial illustration by The Questionable Times. Based on the verified event; scene is illustrative.

The Federal Communications Commission has approved a petition allowing foreign entities to hold 49.5% of the equity in Paramount once its acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery is complete.

The rule being waived is a long-standing one. Foreign entities can ordinarily own up to 25% of media companies that broadcast on the public airwaves, and Paramount owns 28 such television stations.

The petition asked for considerably more than it received. It sought permission for foreign entities to own up to 100% of the combined Paramount-Warner Bros.

The investors are sovereign wealth funds from Saudi Arabia, Qatar and Abu Dhabi.

The commission's reasoning turned on the kind of stock involved. According to the agency, the foreign investors "will not be able to wield any influence, let alone control, over decisions involving the Licensees". This is because the stock options do not come with official voting rights.

Not everyone at the commission agreed. Anna Gomez, its Democratic member, said the agency had "just let some of the most repressive governments in the world indirectly control nearly all of a combined Paramount-Warner Bros."

The advocacy group Free Press objected in similar terms, saying that "control over for-profit, commercial domestic news media by any government is an extraordinary situation that would surely strike most Americans as unseemly".

The transaction is not finished. It remains subject to antitrust litigation brought by California and eleven other states, with a trial scheduled for March.

Set the argument aside for a moment and look only at the arithmetic, because that is where the genuinely interesting problem sits.

The commission's position is not that this equity confers limited influence. It is that it confers none: no influence, let alone control. If that is correct, then the quantity of it cannot matter, and the commission has spent its deliberation setting a ceiling on a substance it has in the same document declared inert.

Nor is the ceiling a round one. It is 49.5%, a figure that stops half a percentage point short of half. On the commission's own reasoning nothing whatsoever happens at half, which makes that half point the most carefully positioned number in the order.

The 25% rule emerges from all this with the strongest record in American broadcasting regulation. It restricts a form of ownership which, according to the order relaxing it, was never capable of doing anything in the first place. In its entire history it has not once failed to prevent what it prevents.

The remaining 50.5% is presumably where the owning happens. This newspaper has asked which portion of a share carries the influence, and at what point along the certificate it begins, and has not yet had an answer.

The Department of Unnecessary Research observes that a limit placed on a quantity with no effect may be set at any figure whatever, from zero to one hundred, with identical results in every case. It took a federal commission, a formal petition and a published order to choose one.

FOREIGN OWNERSHIP OF A BROADCAST LICENSEEQUESTIONABLE ANALYTICS
25Rule's limit
100Requested
49Approved
Real figures: the 25% ceiling on foreign ownership of broadcast licensees, the petition's request for up to 100%, and the 49.5% approved, shown here rounded down to 49.
THE BORING FACT

The Federal Communications Commission has approved a petition allowing foreign entities to hold 49.5% of the equity in Paramount once its acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery completes, waiving a rule that limits foreign ownership of broadcast licensees to 25%. The commission accepted that the investors could wield no influence because the stock carries no voting rights.

Source: Engadget
OUR PROFESSIONAL CONCLUSION

Because the commission holds that non-voting foreign equity confers no influence at all, the 49.5% ceiling limits a quantity it has simultaneously declared to have no effect, which makes the 25% rule the most reliably effective regulation in American broadcasting.

REALITY CHECK · THRESHOLD FALLACY

Unfortunately, there's a small problem.

Voting rights and economic exposure are different things: a rule can cap the second even where the first is absent, because money at stake creates leverage that a share register does not record. The argument here treats 'no formal control' as 'no consequences', which does not follow.

THE BS DETECTOR

Where did reality end?

Tap the paragraph where this story stopped being true. Then see where everyone else bailed.

 

READER CREDULITY METER

Did you believe this story before the twist?

Be the first reader to answer.