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POLITICS · SATIRE · BURDEN-OF-PROOF INVERSION

Fewer Than One in a Hundred Australian Ivory Listings Show Proof of Legality, and the Department Reports No Substantial Seizures

A study of 1,698 listings found almost none documented a legal import. The environment department says Australia is not identified as a country with substantial ivory smuggling.

Editorial cartoon illustration: A customs officer in uniform stands at a long inspection bench in a bright hall, holding up an entirely empty brass tray and peering into it. On the bench in front of her sit a dozen pale carved ornaments arranged in a neat row. Behind a rope barrier a group of dealers in suits stand with their hands in their pockets, waiting politely.
Editorial illustration by The Questionable Times. Based on the verified event; scene is illustrative.

A study of Australia's domestic ivory market has found that almost none of the elephant ivory advertised for sale in the country is offered with paperwork showing that it was legally imported.

The research, published in the journal Biological Conservation, examined 1,698 ivory listings from 70 vendors over a six-month period. Together they were worth about $1.2 million.

Fewer than 1 per cent of the listings were advertised with proof of legality. Nine per cent gave a country of origin. Sixty-two per cent gave an approximate age.

Age is the figure that matters at the border. Imports of Asian elephant ivory are permitted only where the material predates 1975, and African elephant ivory only where it predates 1990, and in both cases certification of legitimacy is required.

Once the material is inside the country, the rules change. Domestic resale is lawful, and a vendor is not required to verify the item or to hold proof of its legality.

"Very, very, few dealers mentioned up-front in their online listing that their item came with paperwork," said Dr Damien Huffer, an illicit trafficking researcher at Adelaide University and the study's lead author.

The contrast with the rules for native wildlife is the one the research draws out. In most parts of Australia a feather from a native bird cannot be sold without a permit. Elephant ivory can be sold through social media without proof that it has been ethically sourced.

In 2019 the federal government pledged to enforce a domestic ban on the trade in ivory and rhinoceros horn. The commitment never came to fruition. China, the United Kingdom and the United States all operate domestic bans, and ten years ago a conference of the parties to CITES, of which Australia is a signatory, recommended that members close their domestic markets because of poaching.

The environment department has set out its view. "Australia's domestic market does not represent a major threat to wild elephant or rhino populations," it said, adding that "Australia is not identified as a country with substantial ivory smuggling or seizures."

Parts of the trade would accept restriction. The Auctioneers and Valuers Association "supports a prohibition on commercial trade in elephant ivory and rhinoceros horn, accompanied by tightly defined exemptions for appropriate historical, cultural and other legitimate items", its chief executive Troy Williams said.

The background figures are not in dispute. Asian elephant numbers have halved to about 50,000 over the past 75 years, and African elephants, estimated at about 1.3 million in 1979, number about 400,000 today.

The two central findings of this story sit together far more comfortably than they first appear. Fewer than one listing in a hundred carries documentation, and the country records no substantial seizures. Both statements are true, and on inspection they are the same statement.

A seizure needs something to seize on: a document that does not match, an origin that cannot be right, a date that fails. Where more than 99 per cent of listings carry no document, 91 per cent name no country and 38 per cent give no age, there is nothing against which an officer may compare anything. The paperwork cannot be wrong, because the paperwork is not there.

The Department of Unnecessary Research regards this as the strongest compliance position available to any jurisdiction. A market in which no claims are made cannot contain a false one. A market that supplies no evidence cannot supply contradictory evidence.

Read in that light, the feather rule is the anomaly. Requiring a permit for a native bird's feather creates a record, a record can be checked, and a check can fail. The ivory arrangement forgoes the record, and with it the failure.

Australia is accordingly not identified as a country with substantial ivory smuggling or seizures. On the information collected, it could not be.

WHAT THE IVORY LISTINGS DISCLOSEDQUESTIONABLE ANALYTICS
62Approximate age
9Country of origin
1Proof of legality
Share of the 1,698 listings examined in the Biological Conservation study. Proof of legality was under 1 per cent and is shown here at 1.
THE BORING FACT

A study published in Biological Conservation examined 1,698 elephant ivory listings from 70 vendors advertised in Australia over six months, worth about $1.2 million, and found that fewer than 1 per cent included documentation proving legal import. A 2019 federal pledge to enforce a domestic ban on the ivory and rhinoceros horn trade never came to fruition.

Source: ABC News
OUR PROFESSIONAL CONCLUSION

Because more than 99 per cent of listings carry no documentation at all, there is nothing for an inspector to find wrong, so the absence of seizures follows from the absence of paperwork rather than from the absence of a trade.

REALITY CHECK · BURDEN-OF-PROOF INVERSION

Unfortunately, there's a small problem.

Seizure statistics are one indicator among several, and a market without advertised documentation is not evidence either way about its scale; the study measured what sellers chose to put in a listing, not what they hold. Treating 'no recorded seizures' as proof that nothing could be seized reverses the burden of proof.

THE BS DETECTOR

Where did reality end?

Tap the paragraph where this story stopped being true. Then see where everyone else bailed.

 

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